The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Sports · resolves Oct 11 · vol $534.41
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.