The market moved
+1.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on department of elections — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Elections.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.