The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 79¢
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $12.43
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://polymarket.com/event/enhanced-aca-premium-tax-credits-extended-in-2025?).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.