Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the margin of victory (mov) for democrat adelita grijalva in the 2025 special election for arizona's 7th congressiona — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Adelita Grijalva in the 2025 special election for Arizona's 7th Congressiona.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.