The market moved
+10.0ppin 24h · now 53¢
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Politics · resolves Sep 6 · vol $496.85
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 53¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.