The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27.3B?
Other · resolves Aug 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.