The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 33¢
Will Airbnb say "Social Media" during earnings call?
Business · resolves Aug 6 · vol $2.78
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of airbnb currently scheduled to take place on august 6, 2026 at 5:00 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of Airbnb currently scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 44.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.