The market moved

+1.3ppin 24h · now

Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Politics · resolves Jun 9 · vol $50.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://scvotes.gov/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.