The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 44¢
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Politics · resolves Sep 24 · vol $31.47
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 44¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.