The market moved

-6.2ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Alibaba be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $42.80

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.2pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.