Will 'Alien: Romulus' gross less than $44m opening weekend?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the box office mojo numbers under domestic weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes thursday's preview — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's preview — https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt18412256/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.