The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?
Sports · open · vol $427.81
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://esportsworldcup.com).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.