The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?

Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $97.97

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.