Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of August 2026?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.