Will Amazon say "Middle East" during earnings call?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of amazon currently scheduled to take place on july 30, 2026 at 5:00 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of Amazon currently scheduled to take place on July 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 21.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.