The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?

Entertainment · resolves Aug 25 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much “americana” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much “Americana” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.