Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be greater than 20%?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first round ranked-choice voting (rcv) margin of victory for andrew cuomo in the 2025 democratic primary for mayo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the first round ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for Andrew Cuomo in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayo.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.