Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first round ranked-choice vote share for andrew cuomo in the 2025 democratic primary for mayor of new york city, — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the first round ranked-choice vote share for Andrew Cuomo in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, .
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.