Will Andrew Oldham be the next Supreme Court nominee?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court — https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.