The market moved
-62.5ppin 24h · now 22¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31?
Business · resolves Sep 1 · vol $294.47
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 62.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.