The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? (copy)
Business · resolves Sep 1 · vol $140.83
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.