The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will annual inflation increase by 39% or higher in December?

Macro · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage increase in consumer price index (cpi / ipc) over the 12-month period ending in december 2025 (variaci — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2025 (Variaci — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.