The market moved

-2.4ppin 24h · now

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?

Macro · resolves Nov 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.