The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?
Macro · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage increase in consumer price index (cpi / ipc) over the 12-month period ending in december 2025 (variaci — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2025 (Variaci — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.