The market moved

+1.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in September?

Macro · resolves Oct 14 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) increased by over the 12-month period ending in september 2025 (varia — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased by over the 12-month period ending in September 2025 (Varia — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.