The market moved

-0.6ppin 24h · now

Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the next Maltese general election?

Politics · resolves May 30 · vol $46.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://electoral.gov.mt/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.