Will another person win the Bolivian election?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 bolivian presidential election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election — https://www.oep.org.bo/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.