The market moved

+76.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 76.1pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.