The market moved

-4.0ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $15.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.