The market moved

-23.0ppin 24h · now 37¢

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

AI · resolves Jul 12 · vol $7.2K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 37¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 23.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.