The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $2.70
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense which are actively using anthropic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense which are actively using Anthropic.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.