The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026?
AI · resolves Aug 16 · vol $15.06
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 23.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.