The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 46¢

Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15?

AI · resolves Aug 15 · vol $96.94

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 46¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2077603834453770467.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.