The market moved

+8.3ppin 24h · now

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $22.27

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 9¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.3pp shift. Resolution depends on anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.