The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 52¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $48.49
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 52¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.