The market moved
-1.8ppin 24h · now 94¢
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $55.85
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 94¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.