The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 60¢

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 60¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.