The market moved
+8.9ppin 24h · now 45¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.