The market moved
-1.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will any AI score ≥20% on ARC-AGI-2 by April 30?
AI · resolves Nov 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on arcprize.org) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: arcprize.org) — https://arcprize.org).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.