The market moved
+90.6ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Politics · open · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 90.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.