The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
AI · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://epoch.ai/frontiermath).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.