The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
Geopolitics · resolves Apr 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://www.swift.com/about-us/legal/compliance-0/swift-and-sanctions).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.