Will anyone say "Affordability" or "Affordable" 15+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 54.4pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.