The market moved
-32.0ppin 24h · now 52¢
Will anyone say "Diary Room" during Big Brother E11?
Other · resolves Jul 29 · vol $325.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 32.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://www.cbs.com/schedule/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 14.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.