The market moved

+49.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will anyone say "Federal Reserve" 5+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?

Macro · resolves Oct 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 49.4pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/boardmeetings/20251024open.htm).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.