The market moved

-47.0ppin 24h · now

Will anyone say "Immigrant" or "Migrant" 10+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?

Politics · resolves Oct 22 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 47.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.