The market moved

-18.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will anyone say "Instagram" or "TikTok" during Big Brother E8?

Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $190.21

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://www.cbs.com/schedule/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.