Will anyone say "LGBTQ" or "Transgender" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.