The market moved

-12.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will anyone say "Mastermind" during Big Brother E8?

Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $302.53

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://www.cbs.com/schedule/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.