The market moved
-26.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will anyone say "Oligarchy" or "Wall Street" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
Politics · resolves Oct 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.