The market moved

+15.5ppin 24h · now 54¢

Will anyone say "Soldier" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?

Other · resolves Aug 2 · vol $220.49

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has been released up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has been released up to that point — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.